Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.402409 11.519258 12.718508 14.104119 15.663559 17.367346 19.373801
2025-09-21 8.455646 9.947979 11.663909 13.791443 16.370287 19.409712 23.284893
2025-09-28 7.161904 8.863717 10.936711 13.667130 17.197493 21.646954 27.740716
2025-10-05 6.438153 8.330918 10.757318 14.131477 18.758321 24.962401 34.050138
2025-10-12 5.851697 7.872439 10.581804 14.535897 20.252926 28.365045 41.012465
2025-10-19 5.278197 7.344102 10.224365 14.610389 21.258027 31.183823 47.566641
2025-10-26 4.752003 6.809962 9.779547 14.475745 21.901273 33.513619 53.711921
2025-11-02 4.297989 6.323820 9.338653 14.272276 22.380672 35.613757 59.785870
2025-11-09 3.905259 5.884346 8.913155 14.026955 22.736150 37.525031 65.811483
2025-11-16 3.583754 5.520113 8.561517 13.848883 23.161087 39.581879 72.410263
2025-11-23 3.323771 5.226711 8.289765 13.764655 23.721826 41.930671 79.937664
2025-11-30 3.169166 5.088525 8.255450 14.078109 25.022001 45.801967 91.172359
2025-12-07 2.947849 4.824301 7.991627 13.969004 25.553101 48.338451 100.256253
2025-12-14 2.720645 4.530747 7.650421 13.681284 25.706077 50.151654 108.143231
2025-12-21 2.544282 4.310415 7.417640 13.569828 26.190263 52.713813 118.267711
2025-12-28 2.466348 4.257864 7.482024 14.037110 27.917127 58.198029 136.603852
2026-01-04 2.385331 4.192088 7.514432 14.442256 29.565685 63.776192 156.491749
2026-01-11 2.269894 4.052446 7.393291 14.518299 30.502605 67.861467 173.408042
2026-01-18 2.140293 3.875536 7.184079 14.385756 30.949441 70.842040 187.976974
2026-01-25 2.014391 3.696061 6.954427 14.184335 31.208940 73.399182 201.949697
2026-02-01 1.894753 3.519987 6.717073 13.941057 31.336830 75.641211 215.541360
2026-02-08 1.791485 3.368946 6.518639 13.764401 31.604703 78.298273 231.141812
2026-02-15 1.705061 3.245629 6.367817 13.680852 32.094995 81.643981 249.915408